Guto Inocente vs Virgil Zwicker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record17-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
254 lbsWeight236 lbs
What's at stake
Virgil Zwicker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Guto Inocente carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1502
If they lose-22→ 1454
If they win+15→ 1520
If they lose-17→ 1488
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guto InocenteVirgil Zwicker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guto Inocente58%
Virgil Zwicker 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Guto Inocente a 58% favorite over Virgil Zwicker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Virgil Zwicker's way (46%).
Virgil Zwicker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1505 to 1476, a 29-point edge.
Guto Inocente enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Virgil Zwicker enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Guto Inocente finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Virgil Zwicker 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.