Guy Mezger vs Jason Fairn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-13-2Record4-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
200 lbsWeight230 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeamFairn Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Guy Mezger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1645
If they lose-18→ 1621
If they win+36→ 1492
If they lose-12→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guy MezgerJason Fairn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guy Mezger56%
Jason Fairn 44%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Guy Mezger a 56% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Guy Mezger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1456, a 183-point edge.
Guy Mezger finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jason Fairn 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.