Guy Mezger vs John Dowdy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-2Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
200 lbsWeight207 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeam
What's at stake
Guy Mezger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — John Dowdy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1622
If they win+35→ 1508
If they lose-13→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guy MezgerJohn Dowdy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guy Mezger70%
John Dowdy 30%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Guy Mezger a 70% favorite over John Dowdy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Guy Mezger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1473, a 166-point edge.
Guy Mezger finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.