Guy Mezger vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-2Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Tito Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Guy Mezger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1656
If they lose-7→ 1632
If they win+7→ 1796
If they lose-17→ 1772
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Guy MezgerTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tito Ortiz83%
Guy Mezger 17%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Tito Ortiz a 83% favorite over Guy Mezger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Tito Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1639, a 150-point edge.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Guy Mezger finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Guy Mezger and Tito Ortiz share 2 common opponents: Antônio Rogério Nogueira and Chuck Liddell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.