Combat Edge Intelligence

Guy Mezger vs Vladimir Vasilyev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Guy Mezger
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Guy Mezger

“The Sandman”

30-13-2Light HeavyweightLion's Den Texas

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

30-13-2Record14-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
200 lbsWeight187 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeamSport Club First Line

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guy MezgerNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Vladimir VasilyevNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Guy MezgerVladimir Vasilyev
165020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (37%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
6 (20%)
Submission
4 (29%)
13 (43%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Vasilyev71%
Guy Mezger 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 71% favorite over Guy Mezger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1641), separated by just 2 points.

Guy Mezger finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.