Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs John Marsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Marsh
us

John Marsh

“The Bull”

8-7-0HeavyweightBF

1518Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight222 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Neutral Grounds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
John MarshNow 1518
If they win+17→ 1535
If they lose-15→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsJohn Marsh
15001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts62%
John Marsh 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 62% favorite over John Marsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1518), separated by just 13 points.

John Marsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Marsh 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.