Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-Reach-
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
TBDTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sascha Weinpolter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+26→ 1535
If they lose-22→ 1487

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsSascha Weinpolter
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gvido Šusts and Sascha Weinpolter within a point of even.

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1509, a 22-point edge.

Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.