Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Sean Alvarez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record4-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight235 lbs
TBDTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
Sean AlvarezNow 1528
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsSean Alvarez
15502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts60%
Sean Alvarez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 60% favorite over Sean Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1528), separated by just 3 points.

Sean Alvarez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.