Gvido Šusts vs Matt Kovacs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record18-19-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamCatalyst Fight House
What's at stake
Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Matt Kovacs carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
If they win+13→ 1527
If they lose-11→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gvido ŠustsMatt Kovacs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gvido Šusts60%
Matt Kovacs 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 60% favorite over Matt Kovacs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1514, a 17-point edge.
Matt Kovacs 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.