Combat Edge Intelligence

Hacran Dias vs Ibragim Kantaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hacran Dias
br

Hacran Dias

“Barnabe”

28-13-1WelterweightACA

1535Average

Tale of the tape

28-13-1Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamBerkut FC

What's at stake

Ibragim Kantaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hacran DiasNow 1535
If they win+14→ 1549
If they lose-10→ 1525
Ibragim KantaevNow 1585
If they win+14→ 1599
If they lose-18→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
2.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
39%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hacran DiasIbragim Kantaev
1550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (11%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
10 (36%)
Submission
4 (50%)
15 (54%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Hacran Dias52%
Ibragim Kantaev 48%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 52% favorite over Ibragim Kantaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibragim Kantaev's way (43%).

Ibragim Kantaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1535, a 50-point edge.

Hacran Dias finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Ibragim Kantaev 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.