Hacran Dias vs Iuri Alcantara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-1Record35-11-0
WelterweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach71,0"
162 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMarajo Brothers Team
What's at stake
Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-10→ 1626
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasIuri Alcantara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iuri Alcantara61%
Hacran Dias 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 61% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1636, a 62-point edge.
Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Iuri Alcantara 80%.
Iuri Alcantara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.