Hacran Dias vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-1Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
162 lbsWeight156 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-8→ 1554
If they win+8→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon73%
Hacran Dias 27%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 73% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1562, a 113-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.