Hacran Dias vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-1Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach68"
162 lbsWeight156 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1625
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon73%
Hacran Dias 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 73% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1636, a 42-point edge.
Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.