Hacran Dias vs Jesse Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-1Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
69"ReachTBD
162 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasJesse Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hacran Dias67%
Jesse Sanders 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 67% favorite over Jesse Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Sanders 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.