Hacran Dias vs Kegan Gennrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-1Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'2"
69,0"Reach75"
162 lbsWeight171 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFox Valley Grappling Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasKegan Gennrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kegan Gennrich70%
Hacran Dias 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kegan Gennrich a 70% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.
Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kegan Gennrich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Kegan Gennrich 50%.
Kegan Gennrich carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.