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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hacran Dias vs Levan Makashvili

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hacran Dias
br

Hacran Dias

“Barnabe”

29-13-1WelterweightACA

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

29-13-1Record20-9-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach39,0"
162 lbsWeight146 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMutant MMA

What's at stake

Levan Makashvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hacran DiasNow 1562
If they win+14→ 1576
If they lose-10→ 1552
Levan MakashviliNow 1609
If they win+10→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
42%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.50
Takedown avg.
3.67
39%
Takedown accuracy
42%
77%
Takedown defense
85%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hacran DiasLevan Makashvili
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
11 (38%)
Submission
1 (5%)
15 (52%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Levan Makashvili60%
Hacran Dias 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Levan Makashvili a 60% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Levan Makashvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1562, a 47-point edge.

Levan Makashvili enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Levan Makashvili 40%.

Hacran Dias and Levan Makashvili share 2 common opponents: Vener Galiev and Aurel Pîrtea.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO (Punches) · 2023
Vener Galiev
Loss Punches · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Aurel Pîrtea
Loss Decision · 2020