Hacran Dias vs Levan Makashvili
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-1Record20-9-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach39,0"
162 lbsWeight146 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMutant MMA
What's at stake
Hacran Dias is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Levan Makashvili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1647
If they lose-13→ 1623
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasLevan Makashvili
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hacran Dias56%
Levan Makashvili 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 56% favorite over Levan Makashvili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Hacran Dias holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1599, a 37-point edge.
Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Levan Makashvili enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Levan Makashvili 40%.
Hacran Dias and Levan Makashvili share 2 common opponents: Vener Galiev and Aurel Pîrtea.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Loss Ground & Pound · 2023
Loss Punches · 2023
Win Decision · 2022
Loss Decision · 2020