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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hacran Dias vs Nick Serra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Hacran Dias
br

Hacran Dias

“Barnabe”

29-13-1WelterweightACA

1562Solid
Nick Serra
us

Nick Serra

“The Mad Monkey”

7-3-0WelterweightEXC

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

29-13-1Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
162 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hacran DiasNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Nick SerraNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
0
42%
Strike accuracy
0%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
55%
Strike defense
43%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1
39%
Takedown accuracy
10%
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Hacran DiasNick Serra
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
11 (38%)
Submission
6 (86%)
15 (52%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hacran Dias66%
Nick Serra 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 66% favorite over Nick Serra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.

Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Nick Serra 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.