Hacran Dias vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-1Record30-12-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-9→ 1553
If they win+9→ 1675
If they lose-15→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz67%
Hacran Dias 33%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 67% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1562, a 104-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.