Combat Edge Intelligence

Hacran Dias vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hacran Dias
br

Hacran Dias

“Barnabe”

27-11-1WelterweightACA

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

27-11-1Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach71"
162 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hacran DiasNow 1636
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-9→ 1627
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-15→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
55%
Strike defense
58%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.84
39%
Takedown accuracy
34%
77%
Takedown defense
47%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Hacran DiasRicardo Lamas
165017001750201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (11%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
10 (37%)
Submission
5 (25%)
14 (52%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lamas78%
Hacran Dias 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 78% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1636, a 94-point edge.

Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Ricardo Lamas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.