Hacran Dias vs Ryan McGillivray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-1Record12-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"ReachTBD
162 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hacran DiasRyan McGillivray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hacran Dias64%
Ryan McGillivray 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 64% favorite over Ryan McGillivray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.
Hacran Dias finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Ryan McGillivray 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.