Combat Edge Intelligence

Hafeni Nafuka vs Hunter Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
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Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fight FusionTeamPerformance Evolution Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hafeni NafukaNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Hunter SmithNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hafeni NafukaHunter Smith
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
8 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Hafeni Nafuka63%
Hunter Smith 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 63% favorite over Hunter Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.