Hafeni Nafuka vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record16-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight159 lbs
Fight FusionTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hafeni NafukaIsaac Vallie-Flagg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hafeni Nafuka60%
Isaac Vallie-Flagg 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 60% favorite over Isaac Vallie-Flagg in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isaac Vallie-Flagg's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Vallie-Flagg 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.