Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Heather Jo Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'6"
-Reach64.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469
Heather Jo ClarkNow 1497
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.62
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
4%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedHeather Jo Clark
1500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (67%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed64%
Heather Jo Clark 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 64% favorite over Heather Jo Clark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Heather Jo Clark's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1497), separated by just 4 points.

Heather Jo Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Heather Jo Clark 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.