Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Kathryn Paprocki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
-Reach36,0"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamDCO MMA & FItness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469
Kathryn PaprockiNow 1494
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1
TBD
Strike accuracy
23%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedKathryn Paprocki
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed63%
Kathryn Paprocki 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 63% favorite over Kathryn Paprocki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kathryn Paprocki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1494), separated by just 1 points.

Kathryn Paprocki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Kathryn Paprocki 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.