Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Maia Stevenson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record6-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
-Reach35.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+23→ 1516
If they lose-25→ 1468
Maia StevensonNow 1484
If they win+25→ 1509
If they lose-23→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedMaia Stevenson
150020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (67%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed66%
Maia Stevenson 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 66% favorite over Maia Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1484), separated by just 9 points.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Maia Stevenson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.