Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Julian Erosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'1"
73"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Julian ErosaNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
6.21
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.27
57%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
1.78
0%
Takedown accuracy
44%
65%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduJulian Erosa
1700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
14 (45%)
6 (46%)
Decision
5 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hakeem Dawodu and Julian Erosa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1695), separated by just 4 points.

Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.