Hakeem Dawodu vs Julio Arce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1721
If they lose-15→ 1689
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hakeem DawoduJulio Arce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hakeem Dawodu51%
Julio Arce 49%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 51% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julio Arce's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1715), separated by just 11 points.
Hakeem Dawodu finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.
Hakeem Dawodu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.