Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Julio Arce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hakeem Dawodu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1691
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676
Julio ArceNow 1714
If they win+11→ 1725
If they lose-13→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
51%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
57%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
0.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
65%
Takedown defense
96%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduJulio Arce
1700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
6 (46%)
Decision
10 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Julio Arce62%
Hakeem Dawodu 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 62% favorite over Hakeem Dawodu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Julio Arce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1691, a 23-point edge.

Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.

Hakeem Dawodu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.