Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Michael Trizano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record10-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
73"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Hakeem Dawodu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Trizano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1691
If they win+15→ 1706
If they lose-17→ 1674
Michael TrizanoNow 1666
If they win+17→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
51%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
57%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
67%
65%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduMichael Trizano
16501700202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (46%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Hakeem Dawodu59%
Michael Trizano 41%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 59% favorite over Michael Trizano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Hakeem Dawodu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1666, a 25-point edge.

Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Michael Trizano 50%.

Hakeem Dawodu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.