Hakeem Dawodu vs Yoshinori Horie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
Hakeem Dawodu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yoshinori Horie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-18→ 1686
If they win+18→ 1687
If they lose-14→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hakeem DawoduYoshinori Horie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoshinori Horie56%
Hakeem Dawodu 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoshinori Horie a 56% favorite over Hakeem Dawodu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hakeem Dawodu's way (45%).
Hakeem Dawodu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1669, a 35-point edge.
Yoshinori Horie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Hakeem Dawodu finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.