Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Yoshinori Horie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamAlliance-Square

What's at stake

Hakeem Dawodu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Yoshinori Horie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1691
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-19→ 1672
Yoshinori HorieNow 1625
If they win+19→ 1644
If they lose-13→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
57%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduYoshinori Horie
1600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (46%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Hakeem Dawodu60%
Yoshinori Horie 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 60% favorite over Yoshinori Horie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Hakeem Dawodu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1625, a 66-point edge.

Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.