Combat Edge Intelligence

Hakeem Dawodu vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-1Record20-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight158 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hakeem DawoduNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
51%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
57%
Strike defense
64%
0
Takedown avg.
2.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
39%
65%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hakeem DawoduZubaira Tukhugov
1700202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (46%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Hakeem Dawodu56%
Zubaira Tukhugov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 56% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zubaira Tukhugov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hakeem Dawodu finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Hakeem Dawodu carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.