Combat Edge Intelligence

Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Matt Mitrione

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
72"Reach43,0"
265 lbsWeight255 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hamdy AbdelwahabNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Matt MitrioneNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
49%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
52%
Strike defense
65%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Hamdy AbdelwahabMatt Mitrione
1600165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Hamdy Abdelwahab66%
Matt Mitrione 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hamdy Abdelwahab a 66% favorite over Matt Mitrione in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1632), separated by just 0 points.

Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hamdy Abdelwahab finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.