Combat Edge Intelligence

Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
72"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight237 lbs

What's at stake

Hamdy Abdelwahab is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Mohammed Usman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hamdy AbdelwahabNow 1630
If they win+23→ 1653
If they lose-25→ 1605
Mohammed UsmanNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
49%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.56
67%
Takedown accuracy
14%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hamdy AbdelwahabMohammed Usman
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Hamdy Abdelwahab63%
Mohammed Usman 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Hamdy Abdelwahab a 63% favorite over Mohammed Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Hamdy Abdelwahab holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1615, a 15-point edge.

Hamdy Abdelwahab finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Mohammed Usman carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.