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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hanka Gelnarová vs Vanessa Melo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Vanessa Melo
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Vanessa Melo

“Miss Simpatia”

11-12-0LightweightSFT

1468Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record11-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
64.6"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamBabuino Gold Team· 1563 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Hanka Gelnarová is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hanka GelnarováNow 1489
If they win+23→ 1512
If they lose-25→ 1464
Vanessa MeloNow 1468
If they win+17→ 1485
If they lose-15→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
Not available
Strike accuracy
31%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.13
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hanka GelnarováVanessa Melo
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (100%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hanka Gelnarová and Vanessa Melo within a point of even.

Hanka Gelnarová holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1468, a 21-point edge.

Vanessa Melo enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Vanessa Melo 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.