Combat Edge Intelligence

Hannah Goldy vs Jessica Penne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
61"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hannah GoldyNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Jessica PenneNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
47%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.05
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.29
12%
Takedown accuracy
19%
55%
Takedown defense
36%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Hannah GoldyJessica Penne
15501600202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (29%)
Submission
8 (57%)
4 (57%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Hannah Goldy59%
Jessica Penne 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hannah Goldy a 59% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessica Penne's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1548), separated by just 2 points.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hannah Goldy finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Penne 71%.

Jessica Penne carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.