Harda Karim vs Ryan Roberts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record21-12-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
71.5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Frontline Muay ThaiTeamDisorderly Conduct
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Harda KarimRyan Roberts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Harda Karim56%
Ryan Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Harda Karim a 56% favorite over Ryan Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1530), separated by just 1 points.
Harda Karim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Harda Karim finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Roberts 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.