Harry Hardwick vs Hiroyuki Takaya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record23-15-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight Academy· 1600 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTakaya Gundan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Harry HardwickHiroyuki Takaya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Harry Hardwick55%
Hiroyuki Takaya 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Harry Hardwick a 55% favorite over Hiroyuki Takaya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.
Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Harry Hardwick finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Hiroyuki Takaya 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.