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Combat Edge Intelligence

Harry Hardwick vs Keisuke Sasu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record14-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight Academy· 1601 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMaster Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Harry HardwickNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Keisuke SasuNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
35%
Strike accuracy
49%
7.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
40%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
3.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
1.88

Trajectory

Harry HardwickKeisuke Sasu
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
4 (31%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (46%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Keisuke Sasu66%
Harry Hardwick 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 66% favorite over Harry Hardwick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Harry Hardwick finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.