Combat Edge Intelligence

Harry Hardwick vs Leonard Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record18-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Harry HardwickNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Leonard GarciaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
35%
Strike accuracy
25%
7.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
40%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
0%
Takedown defense
42%
0
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Harry HardwickLeonard Garcia
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
4 (31%)
Submission
10 (56%)
6 (46%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Harry Hardwick66%
Leonard Garcia 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Harry Hardwick a 66% favorite over Leonard Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Harry Hardwick finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.