Harry Hardwick vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight AcademyTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Harry HardwickMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Harry Hardwick60%
Makwan Amirkhani 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Harry Hardwick a 60% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Makwan Amirkhani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Harry Hardwick finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Makwan Amirkhani carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.