Combat Edge Intelligence

Harry Hunsucker vs Justin Tafa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Tafa
au

Justin Tafa

“Bad Man”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record7-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elite Martial Arts & FitnessTeamNTG Fight & Fitness

What's at stake

Justin Tafa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Harry Hunsucker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Harry HunsuckerNow 1541
If they win+19→ 1560
If they lose-13→ 1528
Justin TafaNow 1608
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-19→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
52%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.11
43%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
53%
2.04
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Harry HunsuckerJustin Tafa
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
4 (57%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Tafa70%
Harry Hunsucker 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 70% favorite over Harry Hunsucker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Justin Tafa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1541, a 67-point edge.

Harry Hunsucker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Harry Hunsucker finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.

Harry Hunsucker and Justin Tafa share 1 common opponent: Jared Vanderaa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossGround & Pound · 2020
Jared Vanderaa
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021