Combat Edge Intelligence

Hassan Shaaban vs Hazem Kayyali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record3-0-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeam

What's at stake

Hazem Kayyali is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Hassan Shaaban carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hassan ShaabanNow 1571
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557
Hazem KayyaliNow 1606
If they win+22→ 1628
If they lose-26→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hassan ShaabanHazem Kayyali
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (75%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hassan Shaaban and Hazem Kayyali within a point of even.

Hazem Kayyali holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1571, a 35-point edge.

Hassan Shaaban enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hassan Shaaban finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Hazem Kayyali 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.