Hassan Shaaban vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hassan ShaabanThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hassan Shaaban63%
Thiago Alves 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hassan Shaaban a 63% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Alves's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.
Hassan Shaaban enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hassan Shaaban finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.