Hatsu Hioki vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-2Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
AliveTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hatsu HiokiMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makwan Amirkhani51%
Hatsu Hioki 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 51% favorite over Hatsu Hioki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Hatsu Hioki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hatsu Hioki finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.