Hatsu Hioki vs Piotr Kacprzak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-2Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
AliveTeamCross Fight Radom
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hatsu HiokiPiotr Kacprzak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hatsu Hioki53%
Piotr Kacprzak 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hatsu Hioki a 53% favorite over Piotr Kacprzak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Piotr Kacprzak's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Hatsu Hioki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Piotr Kacprzak enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Hatsu Hioki finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Kacprzak 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.