Hayder Hassan vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Hayder Hassan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1595
If they lose-6→ 1563
If they win+5→ 1816
If they lose-19→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1800 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hayder HassanKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamaru Usman88%
Hayder Hassan 12%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 88% favorite over Hayder Hassan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1569, a 242-point edge.
Hayder Hassan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Kamaru Usman carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.