Hayder Hassan vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record24-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70,0"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Vicente Luque is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Hayder Hassan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1592
If they lose-9→ 1560
If they win+7→ 1730
If they lose-17→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hayder HassanVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque85%
Hayder Hassan 15%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 85% favorite over Hayder Hassan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Vicente Luque holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1569, a 154-point edge.
Hayder Hassan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Vicente Luque carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.