Combat Edge Intelligence

Hayder Hassan vs Yota Hayashi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record13-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReversal Gym Osaka Anne

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hayder HassanNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Yota HayashiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hayder HassanYota Hayashi
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (15%)
3 (33%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Yota Hayashi70%
Hayder Hassan 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yota Hayashi a 70% favorite over Hayder Hassan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1570), separated by just 1 points.

Yota Hayashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hayder Hassan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yota Hayashi 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.