Hazem Kayyali vs Matt Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-2Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hazem KayyaliMatt Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hazem Kayyali60%
Matt Serra 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 60% favorite over Matt Serra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hazem Kayyali finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Serra 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.