Heath Herring vs Jake O'Brien
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-16-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
250 lbsWeight205 lbs
Las Vegas Combat ClubTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy
What's at stake
Jake O'Brien is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Heath Herring carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1636
If they lose-10→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-19→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Heath HerringJake O'Brien
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake O'Brien82%
Heath Herring 18%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake O'Brien a 82% favorite over Heath Herring in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jake O'Brien holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1622, a 70-point edge.
Heath Herring enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Heath Herring finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jake O'Brien 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.