Combat Edge Intelligence

Heather Jo Clark vs Istela Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record6-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'4"
64.00Reach66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Nunes

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Heather Jo ClarkNow 1497
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473
Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.69
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0
4%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Heather Jo ClarkIstela Nunes
1500155020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Heather Jo Clark54%
Istela Nunes 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Heather Jo Clark a 54% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1501), separated by just 4 points.

Heather Jo Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Heather Jo Clark finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Istela Nunes 33%.

Istela Nunes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.