Combat Edge Intelligence

Hecher Sosa vs Rafael Estevam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hecher Sosa
es

Hecher Sosa

“Guanche Warrior”

15-1-0BantamweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record14-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
Animal Fight CenterTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hecher SosaNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Rafael EstevamNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.10
50%
Strike accuracy
54%
0.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
55%
Strike defense
47%
4
Takedown avg.
6.01
36%
Takedown accuracy
39%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
2
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Hecher SosaRafael Estevam
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (21%)
6 (43%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hecher Sosa and Rafael Estevam within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Hecher Sosa enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Hecher Sosa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Estevam 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.